DCA vs Lump Sum

Should you go all-in at the BTC500 buy/sell signal, or spread your orders across multiple days? Compare the outcomes.

$

Spread buy over N days after signal

Spread sell over N days after signal (0 = sell all at once)

⚠️ Important Disclaimer

These calculations do not include exchange fees, bid-ask spreads, or taxes — all of which can significantly reduce real-world returns. DCA over many days incurs substantially more trading fees and taxable events than a single lump-sum trade. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is not financial advice.

Lump Sum
+$56,072
total profit
Final: $66,072
DCA (30d buy)
+$55,860
total profit
Final: $65,860
Lump sum wins by $212 (+0.4% vs DCA)
Lump sum wins: 1/4·DCA wins: 0/4

2012 Halving

Buy Date
2011-07-17
Sell Date
2014-04-12

Limited price data for this cycle — some DCA days may not have historical prices available.

Price data unavailable for this cycle

2016 Halving

Buy Date
2015-02-25
DCA avg: $270 (29d)
Sell Date
2017-11-21

Price data unavailable for this cycle

2020 Halving

Buy Date
2018-12-28
DCA avg: $3,705 (29d)
Sell Date
2021-09-23

Price data unavailable for this cycle

2024 Halving

Lump sum
Buy Date
2022-12-07
Lump sum: $16,836
DCA avg: $16,890 (30d)
Sell Date
2025-09-02
Lump sum: $111,238
Lump sum
+$56,072
6.61x
DCA
+$55,860
6.59x
Difference: $212 in favor of lump sum

Historical prices from the BTC-USD max CSV. Past performance does not guarantee future results. DCA assumes equal dollar amounts each day; actual execution prices may vary.